PnL (30d)

+$4,538

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$41

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+8.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

62%

218W / 134L · 10 open

Win Return (30d)

60%

218W / 144L

Trades (30d)

362

across 15 markets · ~24 per market

EV / position

+$349.04

avg win $788 · loss $639

Profit Factor

2.78

$7,092 won / $2,554 lost

Reward / Risk

1.23

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	64.1% 715W/401L	177	$282,042
🏛 Politics	100.0% 73W/0L	11	$34,175
🎬 Culture	100.0% 73W/0L	9	$33,728
₿ Crypto	100.0% 6W/0L	7	$1,442
💵 Economy	100.0% 6W/0L	4	$1,149

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	2,609	0.999	$2,604.78	$17.75	+0.7%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	No	1,200	0.982	$1,177.80	$106.80	+10.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?	No	600	0.735	$441.00	$-29.00	-6.2%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	300	0.865	$259.50	$52.50	+25.4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	300	0.845	$253.50	$51.79	+25.7%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	200	0.994	$198.70	$1.30	+0.7%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?	Yes	200	0.865	$173.00	$11.00	+6.8%
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?	Yes	600	0.115	$69.00	$18.00	+35.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?	Yes	2,400	0.026	$62.40	$5.40	+9.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?	Yes	928	0.057	$52.90	$9.17	+21.0%