PnL (30d)

−$2,065

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$24

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-8.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

34%

69W / 134L · 31 open

Win Return (30d)

38%

90W / 144L

Trades (30d)

234

across 15 markets · ~16 per market

EV / position

−$229.40

avg win $98 · loss $639

Profit Factor

0.19

$490 won / $2,554 lost

Reward / Risk

0.15

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	64.1% 715W/401L	177	$282,042
🏛 Politics	100.0% 85W/0L	12	$35,537
🎬 Culture	100.0% 73W/0L	9	$33,728
₿ Crypto	100.0% 6W/0L	7	$1,442
💵 Economy	100.0% 18W/0L	5	$2,510

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	2,609	0.999	$2,604.78	$17.75	+0.7%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	No	1,200	0.981	$1,176.60	$105.60	+9.9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?	No	600	0.745	$447.00	$-23.00	-4.9%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	300	0.855	$256.50	$49.50	+23.9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	300	0.845	$253.50	$51.79	+25.7%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	200	0.994	$198.70	$1.30	+0.7%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?	Yes	200	0.865	$173.00	$11.00	+6.8%
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?	Yes	600	0.115	$69.00	$18.00	+35.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?	Yes	2,400	0.025	$60.96	$3.96	+7.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?	Yes	928	0.057	$52.43	$8.70	+19.9%