| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
66 |
0.835 |
$55.11 |
$-0.64 |
-1.1% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
58 |
0.924 |
$53.66 |
$1.82 |
+3.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
312 |
0.155 |
$48.35 |
$-26.28 |
-35.2% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
70 |
0.645 |
$45.24 |
$4.11 |
+10.0% |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? |
Yes |
47 |
0.845 |
$39.73 |
$-0.37 |
-0.9% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
49 |
0.745 |
$36.72 |
$5.99 |
+19.5% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
46 |
0.715 |
$32.83 |
$4.09 |
+14.2% |
| Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? |
No |
37 |
0.872 |
$32.26 |
$-0.61 |
-1.8% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
No |
35 |
0.899 |
$31.48 |
$0.96 |
+3.2% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
No |
34 |
0.875 |
$29.77 |
$3.09 |
+11.6% |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
29 |
0.954 |
$27.65 |
$0.12 |
+0.4% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
29 |
0.905 |
$26.27 |
$0.06 |
+0.2% |
| Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? |
Yes |
30 |
0.870 |
$26.10 |
$1.95 |
+8.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
69 |
0.375 |
$25.88 |
$5.15 |
+24.9% |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? |
No |
61 |
0.415 |
$25.28 |
$-0.20 |
-0.8% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
No |
34 |
0.730 |
$24.84 |
$0.18 |
+0.7% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? |
Yes |
30 |
0.798 |
$23.94 |
$16.04 |
+203.0% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
21 |
0.964 |
$20.24 |
$1.83 |
+10.0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
No |
21 |
0.955 |
$20.05 |
$3.48 |
+21.0% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
33 |
0.580 |
$19.14 |
$4.78 |
+33.3% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
19 |
0.948 |
$18.00 |
$0.06 |
+0.3% |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? |
No |
23 |
0.770 |
$17.71 |
$-0.32 |
-1.8% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
18 |
0.945 |
$17.03 |
$1.01 |
+6.3% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
17 |
0.935 |
$15.89 |
$1.33 |
+9.2% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
25 |
0.635 |
$15.88 |
$0.39 |
+2.5% |