| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
66 |
0.835 |
$55.11 |
$-0.64 |
-1.1% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
58 |
0.927 |
$53.83 |
$1.99 |
+3.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
312 |
0.165 |
$51.47 |
$-23.16 |
-31.0% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
70 |
0.655 |
$45.94 |
$4.81 |
+11.7% |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? |
Yes |
47 |
0.845 |
$39.73 |
$-0.37 |
-0.9% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
49 |
0.746 |
$36.77 |
$6.04 |
+19.7% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
46 |
0.715 |
$32.83 |
$4.09 |
+14.2% |
| Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? |
No |
37 |
0.874 |
$32.32 |
$-0.55 |
-1.7% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
No |
35 |
0.899 |
$31.48 |
$0.96 |
+3.2% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
No |
34 |
0.855 |
$29.09 |
$2.41 |
+9.0% |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
29 |
0.954 |
$27.67 |
$0.14 |
+0.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
69 |
0.385 |
$26.57 |
$5.84 |
+28.2% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
29 |
0.905 |
$26.27 |
$0.06 |
+0.2% |
| Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? |
Yes |
30 |
0.870 |
$26.10 |
$1.95 |
+8.1% |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? |
No |
61 |
0.420 |
$25.58 |
$0.10 |
+0.4% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
No |
34 |
0.724 |
$24.62 |
$-0.04 |
-0.2% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? |
Yes |
30 |
0.805 |
$24.15 |
$16.25 |
+205.7% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
21 |
0.969 |
$20.35 |
$1.94 |
+10.5% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
No |
21 |
0.955 |
$20.05 |
$3.48 |
+21.0% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
33 |
0.560 |
$18.48 |
$4.12 |
+28.7% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
19 |
0.946 |
$17.97 |
$0.03 |
+0.2% |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? |
No |
23 |
0.770 |
$17.71 |
$-0.32 |
-1.8% |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? |
No |
26 |
0.675 |
$17.55 |
$2.71 |
+18.3% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
18 |
0.945 |
$17.03 |
$1.01 |
+6.3% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
17 |
0.935 |
$15.89 |
$1.33 |
+9.2% |