0x76902bb8EBD85B84C570b98750B962E5d3F9C04F-1776769111085
0x76902bb8ebd85b84c570b98750b962e5d3f9c04f
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$31
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-62.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
45%
5W / 6L
Win Return (30d)
45%
5W / 6L
Trades (30d)
11
across 3 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$10.39
avg win $1 · loss $16
Profit Factor
0.03
$1 won / $32 lost
Reward / Risk
0.05
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$4
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $113,203
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? |
Yes |
82 |
0.105 |
$8.59 |
$-9.41 |
-52.3% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
Yes |
66 |
0.095 |
$6.26 |
$-13.74 |
-68.7% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
Yes |
62 |
0.065 |
$4.06 |
$-5.94 |
-59.4% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
Yes |
126 |
0.019 |
$2.46 |
$-7.54 |
-75.4% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
Yes |
31 |
0.034 |
$1.06 |
$-3.94 |
-78.8% |