PnL (30d)

−$300

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$27

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-29.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

20%

45W / 180L · 21 open

Win Return (30d)

22%

53W / 193L

Trades (30d)

246

across 111 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$3.03

avg win $31 · loss $7

Profit Factor

0.53

$338 won / $638 lost

Reward / Risk

4.24

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$4

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	20.0% 45W/180L	111	$1,504
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$4
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	82	0.105	$8.59	$-9.41	-52.3%
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	66	0.110	$7.25	$-12.75	-63.8%
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	62	0.065	$4.06	$-5.94	-59.4%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	126	0.019	$2.46	$-7.54	-75.4%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	31	0.031	$0.97	$-4.04	-80.7%