| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
Yes |
850 |
0.110 |
$93.50 |
$-38.00 |
-28.9% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
800 |
0.095 |
$76.00 |
$3.99 |
+5.5% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
250 |
0.295 |
$73.75 |
$1.25 |
+1.7% |
| Will Trump say "Manufacturing" during remarks in Las Vegas? |
No |
131 |
0.470 |
$61.57 |
$7.86 |
+14.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,306 |
0.040 |
$52.24 |
$2.61 |
+5.3% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
600 |
0.070 |
$42.00 |
$-18.00 |
-30.0% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.115 |
$34.50 |
$-7.50 |
-17.9% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
Yes |
500 |
0.060 |
$30.00 |
$-5.00 |
-14.3% |
| Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
677 |
0.040 |
$26.74 |
$-30.60 |
-53.4% |
| Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
Yes |
301 |
0.085 |
$25.58 |
$-19.56 |
-43.3% |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
Yes |
92 |
0.203 |
$18.81 |
$-20.21 |
-51.8% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
1,394 |
0.011 |
$16.03 |
$-14.65 |
-47.8% |
| Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
213 |
0.065 |
$13.81 |
$-20.46 |
-59.7% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,010 |
0.011 |
$11.61 |
$-2.52 |
-17.9% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
Yes |
288 |
0.019 |
$5.61 |
$0.14 |
+2.6% |
| Will John Ratcliffe leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
Yes |
22 |
0.125 |
$2.75 |
$0.33 |
+13.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.080 |
$0.63 |
$0.08 |
+14.3% |
| Will Trump say "No No No" during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
1 |
0.365 |
$0.54 |
$-0.02 |
-4.0% |
| Will Trump say "Stock Market" during remarks in Las Vegas? |
No |
2 |
0.095 |
$0.23 |
$0.07 |
+40.8% |