ruletheworld
0x75978edaeed0b4aba863a73f7bcb4ab6205e5f01
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$111
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$7
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+13.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
84%
63W / 12L · 15 open
Win Return (30d)
76%
68W / 22L
Trades (30d)
90
across 46 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$2.92
avg win $4 · loss $3
Profit Factor
5.90
$134 won / $23 lost
Reward / Risk
1.33
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $955 · all-time $219,041
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
159 |
0.866 |
$137.29 |
$57.98 |
+73.1% |
| Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in August? |
Yes |
77 |
0.800 |
$61.33 |
$2.33 |
+4.0% |
| Will Trump say "Tax" 30+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
71 |
0.595 |
$42.36 |
$-3.88 |
-8.4% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
159 |
0.135 |
$21.34 |
$-57.98 |
-73.1% |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? |
No |
35 |
0.540 |
$18.96 |
$-2.04 |
-9.7% |
| Will Trump say "Moon" this week? |
No |
25 |
0.505 |
$12.84 |
$-2.16 |
-14.4% |
| Will Trump say "Through the Roof" during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
11 |
0.685 |
$7.86 |
$0.86 |
+12.3% |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? |
Yes |
9 |
0.865 |
$7.53 |
$0.65 |
+9.5% |
| Will Trump say "Through The Roof" this week? |
Yes |
5 |
0.800 |
$4.33 |
$0.87 |
+25.0% |
| Will Trump say "Pearl Harbor" this week? |
No |
9 |
0.390 |
$3.52 |
$-2.48 |
-41.3% |