PnL (30d)

+$132

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+12.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

86%

76W / 12L · 9 open

Win Return (30d)

84%

81W / 16L

Trades (30d)

97

across 52 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$2.80

avg win $4 · loss $3

Profit Factor

6.83

$154 won / $23 lost

Reward / Risk

1.19

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	87.9% 182W/25L	115	$3,641
🏛 Politics	100.0% 6W/0L	10	$182
🎬 Culture	100.0% 6W/0L	9	$141

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	159	0.866	$137.29	$57.98	+73.1%
Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in August?	Yes	77	0.800	$61.33	$2.33	+4.0%
Will Trump say "Tax" 30+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?	Yes	71	0.595	$42.36	$-3.88	-8.4%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	159	0.135	$21.34	$-57.98	-73.1%
Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?	No	35	0.540	$18.96	$-2.04	-9.7%
Will Trump say "Moon" this week?	No	25	0.505	$12.84	$-2.16	-14.4%
Will Trump say "Through the Roof" during remarks in Las Vegas?	Yes	11	0.680	$7.80	$0.80	+11.5%
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?	Yes	9	0.860	$7.48	$0.61	+8.9%
Will Trump say "Pearl Harbor" this week?	No	9	0.400	$3.61	$-2.39	-39.8%
Will Trump say "Through The Roof" this week?	Yes	5	0.605	$3.28	$-0.19	-5.5%
Trump out as President by August 31?	Yes	125	0.007	$0.94	$-0.06	-6.2%