PnL (30d)

+$9

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$0

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

89%

182W / 22L · 6 open

Win Return (30d)

88%

184W / 24L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

210

across 108 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$0.08

avg win $0 · loss $1

Profit Factor

1.60

$23 won / $15 lost

Reward / Risk

0.17

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$5

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	80.9% 382W/90L	259	$3,353
💵 Economy	85.4% 35W/6L	21	$329
₿ Crypto	75.0% 18W/6L	15	$222
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/1L	2	$20
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$10

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Rubén José Ramírez Mateo win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	10	0.990	$9.89	$-0.01	-0.1%
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	7	0.765	$5.36	$-0.25	-4.4%
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	18	0.275	$5.07	$0.09	+1.9%
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	19	0.270	$5.03	$2.61	+107.7%
Will Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	5	0.990	$4.95	$0.10	+2.1%
Will Jessica Viviana Linares Romero win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	5	0.956	$4.73	$0.03	+0.7%
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?	Yes	4	0.930	$4.00	$0.00	+0.0%
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 35% or higher?	Yes	3	0.966	$2.98	$-0.02	-0.8%
Will Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	19	0.155	$2.88	$0.28	+10.7%