PnL (30d)

+$675

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$135

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

55%

5,240W / 4,297L · 1,186 open

Win Return (30d)

54%

5,779W / 4,941L · 3 open

Trades (30d)

10,723

across 222 markets · ~48 per market

EV / position

+$4.04

avg win $30 · loss $37

Profit Factor

1.28

$3,055 won / $2,380 lost

Reward / Risk

0.82

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$213

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	48.8% 12,192W/12,791L	499	$226,344
🏛 Politics	44.6% 1,295W/1,606L	92	$27,777
🎬 Culture	44.6% 1,295W/1,606L	92	$27,777

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

144 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	105	0.945	$99.02	$46.11	+87.2%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	73	0.975	$71.14	$3.59	+5.3%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	73	0.973	$70.83	$20.30	+40.2%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	58	0.999	$57.91	$2.94	+5.3%
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	51	1.000	$50.97	$11.39	+28.8%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	190	0.245	$46.48	$1.40	+3.1%
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	46	0.954	$43.51	$2.76	+6.8%
Will White House post 160-179 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	43	0.890	$38.05	$-2.15	-5.4%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	38	1.000	$37.98	$0.73	+2.0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	33	0.979	$32.31	$1.53	+5.0%
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	82	0.390	$32.03	$17.42	+119.2%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	39	0.821	$32.00	$-0.85	-2.6%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	30	0.998	$29.93	$1.18	+4.1%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	30	0.994	$29.80	$1.60	+5.7%
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	34	0.860	$29.19	$-0.17	-0.6%
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	63	0.450	$28.30	$3.31	+13.2%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	371	0.075	$27.85	$-19.52	-41.2%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	27	0.999	$26.96	$0.62	+2.4%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	150	0.179	$26.85	$2.85	+11.9%
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	113	0.235	$26.53	$9.55	+56.2%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	141	0.185	$26.09	$2.50	+10.6%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	95	0.270	$25.61	$-2.83	-9.9%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	26	0.982	$25.52	$2.05	+8.7%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	31	0.815	$25.26	$-1.04	-3.9%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	42	0.585	$24.42	$-3.93	-13.9%