PnL (30d)

−$1

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$320

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

49%

12,192W / 12,791L · 1,936 open

Win Return (30d)

48%

12,935W / 13,982L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

26,919

across 499 markets · ~54 per market

EV / position

−$0.00

avg win $31 · loss $42

Profit Factor

1.00

$7,203 won / $7,204 lost

Reward / Risk

0.75

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,530

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	48.8% 12,192W/12,791L	499	$226,344
🏛 Politics	44.6% 1,295W/1,606L	92	$27,777
🎬 Culture	44.6% 1,295W/1,606L	92	$27,777

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

146 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	105	0.934	$97.87	$44.96	+85.0%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	1,820	0.035	$62.80	$-67.29	-51.7%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	237	0.265	$62.73	$6.49	+11.5%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	58	0.997	$57.83	$2.85	+5.2%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	53	0.965	$50.98	$19.84	+63.7%
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	51	0.999	$50.95	$11.37	+28.7%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	56	0.827	$46.28	$-0.88	-1.9%
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	46	0.945	$43.08	$2.33	+5.7%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	72	0.585	$41.97	$-6.76	-13.9%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	471	0.085	$40.06	$-20.07	-33.4%
Will White House post 160-179 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	43	0.926	$39.61	$-0.59	-1.5%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	1,111	0.035	$38.88	$-121.28	-75.7%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	38	1.000	$37.98	$0.73	+2.0%
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	65	0.510	$33.27	$11.04	+49.6%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	33	0.977	$32.22	$1.45	+4.7%
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	82	0.385	$31.62	$17.01	+116.4%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	32	0.979	$31.31	$2.43	+8.4%
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	83	0.370	$30.88	$8.04	+35.2%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	30	0.998	$29.93	$1.18	+4.1%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	30	0.994	$29.80	$1.60	+5.7%
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	34	0.855	$29.02	$-0.34	-1.2%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	167	0.170	$28.39	$0.46	+1.6%
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	63	0.450	$28.30	$3.31	+13.2%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	28	0.966	$27.03	$3.19	+13.4%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	27	0.999	$26.96	$0.62	+2.4%