| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
No |
95,000 |
0.961 |
$91,247.50 |
$43,747.50 |
+92.1% |
| Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Clacton by-election? |
No |
7,035 |
1.000 |
$7,031.01 |
$86.74 |
+1.2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
Yes |
95,000 |
0.040 |
$3,752.50 |
$-43,747.50 |
-92.1% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? |
Yes |
2,171 |
0.721 |
$1,563.91 |
$-56.59 |
-3.5% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
2,862 |
0.461 |
$1,318.00 |
$-230.35 |
-14.9% |
| Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? |
Yes |
3,002 |
0.420 |
$1,260.83 |
$330.22 |
+35.5% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.? |
Yes |
1,420 |
0.879 |
$1,247.93 |
$25.71 |
+2.1% |
| Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
Yes |
3,133 |
0.360 |
$1,127.79 |
$501.24 |
+80.0% |
| Will Alexandra Eala win the 2026 Women’s US Open? |
No |
895 |
0.955 |
$853.86 |
$20.57 |
+2.5% |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
631 |
0.925 |
$583.73 |
$146.42 |
+33.5% |
| Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? |
No |
512 |
0.991 |
$507.17 |
$7.19 |
+1.4% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.? |
Yes |
582 |
0.830 |
$482.84 |
$24.95 |
+5.4% |
| USMCA extended in 2026? |
No |
607 |
0.750 |
$455.54 |
$30.43 |
+7.2% |
| Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election by at least 15%? |
Yes |
447 |
0.973 |
$434.28 |
$5.37 |
+1.3% |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
Yes |
964 |
0.414 |
$399.55 |
$179.97 |
+82.0% |
| Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
516 |
0.675 |
$348.35 |
$69.77 |
+25.0% |
| Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Clacton by-election? |
No |
334 |
0.993 |
$331.80 |
$-1.79 |
-0.5% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
1,551 |
0.213 |
$331.14 |
$-47.92 |
-12.6% |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? |
Yes |
400 |
0.805 |
$322.00 |
$-66.00 |
-17.0% |
| Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
561 |
0.570 |
$319.96 |
$0.24 |
+0.1% |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
Yes |
3,500 |
0.075 |
$262.50 |
$-62.50 |
-19.2% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
18,886 |
0.013 |
$254.97 |
$-1,043.45 |
-80.4% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? |
No |
298 |
0.805 |
$239.96 |
$129.23 |
+116.7% |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? |
Yes |
1,052 |
0.225 |
$236.64 |
$36.30 |
+18.1% |
| Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
Yes |
3,133 |
0.060 |
$189.53 |
$-437.02 |
-69.8% |