PnL (30d)

−$371

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2,636

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

33%

24W / 48L · 84 open

Win Return (30d)

24%

37W / 116L · 3 open

Trades (30d)

156

across 10 markets · ~16 per market

EV / position

−$92.67

avg win $87 · loss $153

Profit Factor

0.19

$87 won / $458 lost

Reward / Risk

0.57

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	31.1% 38W/84L	20	$26,105
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	31,001	0.155	$4,805.14	$-2,851.59	-37.2%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	25,533	0.021	$546.40	$-1,012.40	-64.9%