PnL (30d)

−$481

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$129

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

31%

38W / 84L · 116 open

Win Return (30d)

28%

60W / 152L · 26 open

Trades (30d)

238

across 20 markets · ~12 per market

EV / position

−$48.11

avg win $286 · loss $132

Profit Factor

0.54

$571 won / $1,052 lost

Reward / Risk

2.17

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	31.1% 38W/84L	20	$26,105
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	31,001	0.165	$5,115.15	$-2,541.58	-33.2%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	25,533	0.019	$497.89	$-1,060.91	-68.1%