| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
343 |
0.215 |
$73.81 |
$-26.50 |
-26.4% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
192 |
0.235 |
$45.07 |
$-12.01 |
-21.0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
Yes |
450 |
0.050 |
$22.50 |
$-50.50 |
-69.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
60 |
0.295 |
$17.70 |
$3.60 |
+25.5% |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? |
Yes |
147 |
0.120 |
$17.62 |
$-17.55 |
-49.9% |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds |
St. Louis Cardinals |
22 |
0.440 |
$9.66 |
$0.66 |
+7.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
10 |
0.865 |
$8.65 |
$3.45 |
+66.3% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
20 |
0.410 |
$8.20 |
$2.60 |
+46.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.355 |
$7.10 |
$-2.70 |
-27.6% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
Yes |
351 |
0.019 |
$6.84 |
$-6.54 |
-48.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
43 |
0.155 |
$6.72 |
$-5.68 |
-45.8% |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? |
Yes |
74 |
0.055 |
$4.07 |
$-4.58 |
-52.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.145 |
$2.90 |
$-4.30 |
-59.7% |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees |
Boston Red Sox |
4 |
0.535 |
$2.21 |
$0.21 |
+10.6% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
10 |
0.205 |
$2.05 |
$-5.75 |
-73.7% |
| Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? |
Yes |
30 |
0.065 |
$1.95 |
$-0.75 |
-27.8% |
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? |
Yes |
35 |
0.045 |
$1.57 |
$-3.02 |
-65.8% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
Yes |
50 |
0.022 |
$1.12 |
$-3.22 |
-74.1% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
4 |
0.260 |
$1.08 |
$0.08 |
+8.3% |
| Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16? |
Yes |
3 |
0.365 |
$0.96 |
$-0.04 |
-3.9% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
4 |
0.075 |
$0.30 |
$-0.70 |
-70.0% |