| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
1,510 |
0.375 |
$566.12 |
$13.11 |
+2.4% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
634 |
0.295 |
$187.09 |
$-53.91 |
-22.4% |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31? |
No |
251 |
0.550 |
$138.28 |
$47.28 |
+52.0% |
| Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6.5B by August 31? |
No |
190 |
0.670 |
$127.30 |
$42.60 |
+50.3% |
| Will Rodri join Real Madrid? |
No |
586 |
0.215 |
$125.96 |
$12.96 |
+11.5% |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
395 |
0.280 |
$110.48 |
$23.48 |
+27.0% |
| Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31? |
No |
118 |
0.910 |
$107.55 |
$3.55 |
+3.4% |
| Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by December 31? |
No |
184 |
0.545 |
$100.32 |
$-2.76 |
-2.7% |
| Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%? |
No |
128 |
0.680 |
$86.88 |
$19.17 |
+28.3% |
| Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2028? |
No |
107 |
0.760 |
$81.43 |
$6.43 |
+8.6% |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $16.5B by August 31? |
No |
137 |
0.530 |
$72.65 |
$-17.28 |
-19.2% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
158 |
0.461 |
$72.62 |
$-12.38 |
-14.6% |
| Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by December 31? |
No |
163 |
0.435 |
$70.94 |
$16.56 |
+30.5% |
| Will Glenn Youngkin announce a presidential run before 2028? |
No |
85 |
0.665 |
$56.52 |
$2.33 |
+4.3% |
| Jacob Elordi and Kendall Jenner engaged in 2026? |
No |
88 |
0.585 |
$51.45 |
$-21.55 |
-29.5% |
| James Comey charges dropped by December 31? |
Yes |
84 |
0.610 |
$51.24 |
$9.24 |
+22.0% |
| Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2028? |
No |
138 |
0.345 |
$47.42 |
$3.42 |
+7.8% |
| Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
122 |
0.370 |
$45.12 |
$-4.88 |
-9.8% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
194 |
0.220 |
$42.68 |
$9.78 |
+29.7% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
No |
114 |
0.365 |
$41.61 |
$-3.35 |
-7.5% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? |
No |
100 |
0.395 |
$39.45 |
$-1.55 |
-3.8% |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI — greater valuation growth August 2026 |
OpenAI |
100 |
0.365 |
$36.50 |
$0.50 |
+1.4% |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
51 |
0.637 |
$32.49 |
$-5.40 |
-14.2% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
50 |
0.585 |
$29.25 |
$0.25 |
+0.9% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31? |
No |
40 |
0.710 |
$28.40 |
$2.80 |
+10.9% |