| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? |
Yes |
11,404 |
0.405 |
$4,618.77 |
$-1,107.40 |
-19.3% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
6,637 |
0.655 |
$4,347.52 |
$-25.28 |
-0.6% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
10,748 |
0.355 |
$3,815.65 |
$787.37 |
+26.0% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
19,527 |
0.135 |
$2,626.44 |
$-51.77 |
-1.9% |
| Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
2,162 |
0.955 |
$2,064.97 |
$283.05 |
+15.9% |
| Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,898 |
0.977 |
$1,854.35 |
$146.25 |
+8.6% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? |
Yes |
7,479 |
0.245 |
$1,832.38 |
$767.72 |
+72.1% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
Yes |
9,162 |
0.185 |
$1,695.00 |
$-511.46 |
-23.2% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
1,767 |
0.850 |
$1,501.94 |
$234.82 |
+18.5% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
2,272 |
0.630 |
$1,431.45 |
$96.12 |
+7.2% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? |
No |
1,268 |
0.835 |
$1,058.91 |
$98.40 |
+10.2% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
10,656 |
0.093 |
$996.32 |
$418.14 |
+72.3% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? |
Yes |
2,381 |
0.346 |
$824.78 |
$121.25 |
+17.2% |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? |
No |
770 |
0.800 |
$615.95 |
$50.29 |
+8.9% |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? |
Yes |
3,437 |
0.175 |
$601.43 |
$-563.14 |
-48.4% |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
712 |
0.745 |
$530.16 |
$24.91 |
+4.9% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? |
No |
546 |
0.840 |
$458.99 |
$135.86 |
+42.0% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? |
Yes |
2,615 |
0.165 |
$431.49 |
$212.42 |
+97.0% |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? |
Yes |
4,216 |
0.091 |
$385.80 |
$147.19 |
+61.7% |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
591 |
0.652 |
$385.55 |
$256.63 |
+199.1% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? |
Yes |
2,068 |
0.175 |
$361.90 |
$-93.06 |
-20.5% |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,290 |
0.240 |
$309.48 |
$-209.24 |
-40.3% |
| Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? |
Yes |
2,656 |
0.105 |
$278.90 |
$-298.82 |
-51.7% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? |
No |
666 |
0.375 |
$249.91 |
$-7.55 |
-2.9% |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? |
Yes |
708 |
0.340 |
$240.82 |
$-214.78 |
-47.1% |