PnL (30d)

+$454

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$18

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+6.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

83%

242W / 50L · 33 open

Win Return (30d)

77%

249W / 76L

Trades (30d)

325

across 21 markets · ~15 per market

EV / position

+$28.35

avg win $65 · loss $228

Profit Factor

1.99

$910 won / $457 lost

Reward / Risk

0.28

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$40

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	75.4% 500W/163L	51	$35,843
🏛 Politics	93.9% 46W/3L	11	$3,782
🎬 Culture	93.9% 46W/3L	11	$3,782

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	300	0.745	$223.47	$-11.50	-4.9%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	300	0.575	$172.47	$-29.50	-14.6%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	200	0.815	$162.98	$-3.02	-1.8%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	100	0.825	$82.50	$-0.50	-0.6%