PnL (30d)

−$1,136

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$16

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-5.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

75%

500W / 163L · 36 open

Win Return (30d)

73%

507W / 192L

Trades (30d)

699

across 51 markets · ~14 per market

EV / position

−$25.25

avg win $72 · loss $365

Profit Factor

0.69

$2,517 won / $3,653 lost

Reward / Risk

0.20

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$105

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	75.4% 500W/163L	51	$35,843
🏛 Politics	85.2% 46W/8L	11	$3,858
🎬 Culture	85.2% 46W/8L	11	$3,858

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	300	0.755	$226.47	$-8.50	-3.6%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	300	0.585	$175.47	$-26.50	-13.1%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	200	0.815	$162.98	$-3.02	-1.8%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	100	0.825	$82.50	$-0.50	-0.6%