| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
1,617 |
0.855 |
$1,382.85 |
$544.80 |
+65.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
1,120 |
0.835 |
$935.20 |
$128.50 |
+15.9% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
780 |
0.935 |
$729.30 |
$168.50 |
+30.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
700 |
0.961 |
$672.34 |
$65.35 |
+10.8% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
No |
710 |
0.905 |
$642.55 |
$132.85 |
+26.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
590 |
0.976 |
$575.84 |
$12.85 |
+2.3% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
550 |
0.853 |
$468.88 |
$108.38 |
+30.1% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
547 |
0.823 |
$449.77 |
$109.23 |
+32.1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
590 |
0.675 |
$398.01 |
$41.97 |
+11.8% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
240 |
0.945 |
$226.80 |
$21.60 |
+10.5% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
230 |
0.948 |
$218.03 |
$13.63 |
+6.7% |
| Iran leadership change by August 31? |
No |
200 |
0.977 |
$195.29 |
$7.10 |
+3.8% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.964 |
$192.70 |
$34.80 |
+22.0% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
160 |
0.940 |
$150.32 |
$51.12 |
+51.5% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
150 |
0.987 |
$147.97 |
$12.97 |
+9.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
No |
150 |
0.986 |
$147.82 |
$0.52 |
+0.4% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? |
No |
180 |
0.725 |
$130.49 |
$27.90 |
+27.2% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? |
No |
130 |
0.956 |
$124.28 |
$21.58 |
+21.0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
130 |
0.905 |
$117.65 |
$16.25 |
+16.0% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
120 |
0.930 |
$111.60 |
$10.80 |
+10.7% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
110 |
0.987 |
$108.57 |
$6.27 |
+6.1% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
110 |
0.981 |
$107.86 |
$9.73 |
+9.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
110 |
0.945 |
$103.95 |
$7.15 |
+7.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
80 |
0.900 |
$71.98 |
$21.59 |
+42.9% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
No |
80 |
0.835 |
$66.80 |
$17.20 |
+34.7% |