| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
1,617 |
0.855 |
$1,382.85 |
$544.80 |
+65.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
1,120 |
0.845 |
$946.40 |
$139.70 |
+17.3% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
780 |
0.935 |
$729.30 |
$168.50 |
+30.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
700 |
0.958 |
$670.24 |
$63.25 |
+10.4% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
No |
710 |
0.905 |
$642.55 |
$132.85 |
+26.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
590 |
0.975 |
$574.96 |
$11.97 |
+2.1% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
550 |
0.850 |
$467.23 |
$106.73 |
+29.6% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
547 |
0.823 |
$450.04 |
$109.50 |
+32.2% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
590 |
0.675 |
$398.01 |
$41.97 |
+11.8% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
240 |
0.945 |
$226.80 |
$21.60 |
+10.5% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
230 |
0.952 |
$218.84 |
$14.43 |
+7.1% |
| Iran leadership change by August 31? |
No |
200 |
0.977 |
$195.39 |
$7.20 |
+3.8% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.961 |
$192.10 |
$34.20 |
+21.7% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
160 |
0.940 |
$150.32 |
$51.12 |
+51.5% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
150 |
0.987 |
$147.97 |
$12.97 |
+9.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
No |
150 |
0.985 |
$147.68 |
$0.38 |
+0.3% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? |
No |
180 |
0.725 |
$130.49 |
$27.90 |
+27.2% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? |
No |
130 |
0.954 |
$124.02 |
$21.32 |
+20.8% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
130 |
0.905 |
$117.65 |
$16.25 |
+16.0% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
120 |
0.920 |
$110.40 |
$9.60 |
+9.5% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
110 |
0.987 |
$108.52 |
$6.21 |
+6.1% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
110 |
0.981 |
$107.86 |
$9.73 |
+9.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
110 |
0.955 |
$105.05 |
$8.25 |
+8.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
80 |
0.905 |
$72.38 |
$21.99 |
+43.7% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
No |
80 |
0.830 |
$66.40 |
$16.80 |
+33.9% |