PnL (30d)

+$879

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$132

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

74%

60W / 21L · 27 open

Win Return (30d)

71%

77W / 31L

Trades (30d)

108

across 13 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

+$125.63

avg win $599 · loss $2,715

Profit Factor

1.32

$3,594 won / $2,715 lost

Reward / Risk

0.22

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	66.0% 62W/32L	19	$137,699
🏛 Politics	100.0% 17W/0L	10	$67,697
💵 Economy	100.0% 16W/0L	8	$62,839
🎬 Culture	—	1	$1,870
🔬 Science	—	1	$1,870

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	67,000	0.790	$52,963.50	$19,463.50	+58.1%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	67,000	0.209	$14,036.50	$-19,463.50	-58.1%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	3,222	0.515	$1,659.32	$982.52	+145.2%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	3,222	0.455	$1,466.00	$821.60	+127.5%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	55	0.945	$52.02	$0.86	+1.7%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	500	0.040	$19.75	$-3.75	-16.0%