d1k21
0x71ed0bc95433cdf1be29f43219725fce9addd9eb
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$807
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$112
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
70%
50W / 21L · 17 open
Win Return (30d)
65%
57W / 31L
Trades (30d)
88
across 10 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
+$161.48
avg win $880 · loss $2,715
Profit Factor
1.30
$3,522 won / $2,715 lost
Reward / Risk
0.32
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $38,000
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
67,000 |
0.790 |
$52,963.50 |
$19,463.50 |
+58.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
67,000 |
0.209 |
$14,036.50 |
$-19,463.50 |
-58.1% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
3,222 |
0.515 |
$1,659.32 |
$982.52 |
+145.2% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
3,222 |
0.455 |
$1,466.00 |
$821.60 |
+127.5% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
55 |
0.945 |
$52.02 |
$0.86 |
+1.7% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.040 |
$19.75 |
$-3.75 |
-16.0% |