| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
7,200 |
0.974 |
$7,009.18 |
$673.20 |
+10.6% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
18,000 |
0.255 |
$4,589.97 |
$-4,910.52 |
-51.7% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
3,600 |
0.962 |
$3,463.16 |
$193.50 |
+5.9% |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
3,344 |
1.000 |
$3,342.67 |
$2,121.46 |
+173.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
1,800 |
0.845 |
$1,521.00 |
$333.00 |
+28.0% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
No |
1,278 |
0.925 |
$1,182.15 |
$282.11 |
+31.3% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
1,019 |
0.943 |
$959.97 |
$834.59 |
+665.6% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? |
Yes |
4,521 |
0.095 |
$429.49 |
$-791.07 |
-64.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
1,800 |
0.155 |
$279.00 |
$-315.00 |
-53.0% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
2,033 |
0.114 |
$230.78 |
$-347.13 |
-60.1% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
164 |
0.886 |
$145.16 |
$100.76 |
+227.0% |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? |
Yes |
2,776 |
0.051 |
$141.30 |
$-1,939.97 |
-93.2% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
100 |
0.816 |
$81.55 |
$9.65 |
+13.4% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
47 |
0.975 |
$45.82 |
$9.23 |
+25.2% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
1,366 |
0.025 |
$34.14 |
$-46.87 |
-57.9% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
Yes |
305 |
0.075 |
$22.88 |
$-15.57 |
-40.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
25 |
0.865 |
$21.62 |
$4.17 |
+23.9% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
33 |
0.184 |
$6.00 |
$-3.72 |
-38.3% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.058 |
$5.75 |
$-13.05 |
-69.4% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
152 |
0.029 |
$4.48 |
$0.08 |
+1.7% |
| Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? |
No |
5 |
0.810 |
$4.05 |
$-0.05 |
-1.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
10 |
0.135 |
$1.35 |
$-3.65 |
-73.0% |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
230 |
0.005 |
$1.26 |
$-20.83 |
-94.3% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.905 |
$0.91 |
$0.41 |
+81.0% |
| Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
183 |
0.001 |
$0.09 |
$-14.52 |
-99.4% |