PnL (30d)

−$20

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$14

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-13.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 1L · 25 open

Win Return (30d)

12%

3W / 23L

Trades (30d)

26

across 6 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$20.00

· loss $20

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $20 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	0.0% 0W/1L	6	$153
💵 Economy	—	1	$13
🏛 Politics	—	1	$4

Open positions

26 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	7,200	0.973	$7,001.98	$666.00	+10.5%
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	18,000	0.255	$4,589.97	$-4,910.52	-51.7%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	3,600	0.962	$3,461.36	$191.70	+5.9%
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	3,344	1.000	$3,342.67	$2,121.46	+173.7%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	1,800	0.835	$1,503.00	$315.00	+26.5%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	No	1,278	0.925	$1,182.15	$282.11	+31.3%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	1,019	0.939	$955.90	$830.52	+662.4%
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	4,521	0.100	$452.10	$-768.47	-63.0%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	1,800	0.165	$297.00	$-297.00	-50.0%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	2,033	0.114	$230.78	$-347.13	-60.1%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	164	0.886	$145.16	$100.76	+227.0%
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	Yes	2,776	0.051	$142.96	$-1,938.31	-93.1%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	100	0.816	$81.55	$9.65	+13.4%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	47	0.974	$45.78	$9.19	+25.1%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	1,366	0.026	$35.51	$-45.51	-56.2%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	305	0.075	$22.88	$-15.57	-40.5%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	25	0.865	$21.62	$4.17	+23.9%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	100	0.061	$6.15	$-12.65	-67.3%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	33	0.184	$6.00	$-3.72	-38.3%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	152	0.029	$4.48	$0.08	+1.7%
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?	No	5	0.785	$3.92	$-0.17	-4.3%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	10	0.135	$1.35	$-3.65	-73.0%
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	230	0.005	$1.26	$-20.83	-94.3%
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	1	0.900	$0.90	$0.40	+80.0%
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	183	0.001	$0.09	$-14.52	-99.4%