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Trader leaderboard/alebale

alebale

0x717111a47627254461412df6cecd697f9ba07af9
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$18
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
7%
6W / 77L
Trades (30d)
83
across 6 markets · ~14 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $62,219 · all-time $3,081,309

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 47.7% 123W/135L 191 $10,207
🏛 Politics 27 $1,969
⚽ Sports 11 $691
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/9L 10 $1,041
🌤 Weather 70.8% 17W/7L 10 $182
🎬 Culture 4 $102
🔬 Science 3 $130
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/9L 3 $223
🤖 Tech 2 $94

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

44 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 423 0.079 $33.21 $3.17 +10.6%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes 252 0.130 $32.76 $2.52 +8.3%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 1,304 0.024 $31.30 $1.30 +4.3%
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 652 0.046 $30.32 $0.33 +1.1%
Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes 572 0.052 $30.02 $1.43 +5.0%
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes 3,232 0.009 $29.09 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 288 0.101 $28.94 $-1.01 -3.4%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 2,143 0.013 $28.93 $-1.07 -3.6%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 968 0.029 $28.57 $-1.45 -4.8%
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? Yes 812 0.033 $26.39 $-3.66 -12.2%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 341 0.073 $25.06 $-4.94 -16.5%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 3,326 0.007 $24.94 $-4.99 -16.7%
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 441 0.055 $24.26 $-6.62 -21.4%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 323 0.075 $24.22 $-4.84 -16.7%
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 1,857 0.013 $23.21 $-2.79 -10.7%
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 294 0.075 $22.05 $-7.35 -25.0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? Yes 588 0.037 $22.05 $-7.35 -25.0%
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 938 0.024 $22.04 $-7.97 -26.6%
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? Yes 857 0.025 $21.77 $-8.23 -27.4%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 3,333 0.006 $21.66 $-8.33 -27.8%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 1,200 0.017 $20.40 $-9.60 -32.0%
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes 257 0.076 $19.69 $-4.25 -17.7%
Iran leadership change by September 30? Yes 353 0.055 $19.41 $-8.82 -31.2%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 1,200 0.015 $18.60 $-11.40 -38.0%
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? Yes 1,364 0.013 $18.41 $-11.59 -38.6%