PnL (30d)

−$583

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$16

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-11.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

72%

53W / 21L · 1 open

Win Return (30d)

71%

53W / 22L

Trades (30d)

75

across 32 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$18.82

avg win $74 · loss $131

Profit Factor

0.68

$1,257 won / $1,841 lost

Reward / Risk

0.56

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$950

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	63.8% 194W/110L	161	$26,267
₿ Crypto	76.8% 53W/16L	30	$4,907
⚽ Sports	54.5% 6W/5L	10	$2,675

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	20	0.810	$16.20	$11.20	+224.0%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	60	0.261	$15.63	$1.59	+11.3%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	16	0.927	$15.06	$0.90	+6.4%
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?	Yes	25	0.545	$13.62	$8.62	+172.5%
Next Token Sale on Coinbase by October 31, 2026?	No	8	0.820	$6.86	$4.03	+142.3%
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?	Yes	17	0.355	$6.04	$1.10	+22.4%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	45	0.038	$1.73	$-2.22	-56.2%
Next Token Sale on Coinbase by November 30, 2026?	Yes	4	0.270	$1.10	$-1.68	-60.5%
Next Token Sale on Coinbase by September 30, 2026?	Yes	4	0.075	$0.27	$-1.93	-87.8%
Next Token Sale on Coinbase by August 31, 2026?	Yes	4	0.034	$0.14	$-2.00	-93.5%