PnL (30d)

−$429

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

64%

194W / 109L · 3 open

Win Return (30d)

64%

195W / 111L

Trades (30d)

306

across 158 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$2.75

avg win $116 · loss $121

Profit Factor

0.95

$9,040 won / $9,470 lost

Reward / Risk

0.95

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,418

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	64.0% 194W/109L	158	$26,062
₿ Crypto	76.8% 53W/16L	29	$4,827
⚽ Sports	60.0% 6W/4L	9	$2,620

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	20	0.815	$16.30	$11.30	+226.0%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	60	0.261	$15.63	$1.59	+11.3%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	16	0.927	$15.06	$0.90	+6.4%
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?	Yes	25	0.545	$13.62	$8.62	+172.5%
Next Token Sale on Coinbase by October 31, 2026?	No	8	0.850	$7.11	$4.28	+151.1%
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?	Yes	17	0.355	$6.04	$1.10	+22.4%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	45	0.038	$1.73	$-2.22	-56.2%
Next Token Sale on Coinbase by November 30, 2026?	Yes	4	0.275	$1.12	$-1.66	-59.8%
Next Token Sale on Coinbase by September 30, 2026?	Yes	4	0.090	$0.32	$-1.88	-85.3%
Next Token Sale on Coinbase by August 31, 2026?	Yes	4	0.039	$0.16	$-1.97	-92.5%