| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
510 |
0.460 |
$234.34 |
$31.64 |
+15.6% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
No |
220 |
0.905 |
$199.10 |
$5.50 |
+2.8% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
202 |
0.962 |
$194.22 |
$40.70 |
+26.5% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? |
No |
264 |
0.725 |
$191.26 |
$-9.64 |
-4.8% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
222 |
0.655 |
$145.41 |
$24.35 |
+20.1% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
510 |
0.278 |
$141.53 |
$15.96 |
+12.7% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
222 |
0.625 |
$138.75 |
$-9.99 |
-6.7% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.085 |
$85.00 |
$-15.00 |
-15.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
200 |
0.405 |
$81.00 |
$1.00 |
+1.2% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
210 |
0.209 |
$43.99 |
$2.41 |
+5.8% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? |
No |
47 |
0.885 |
$41.36 |
$1.86 |
+4.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
105 |
0.285 |
$29.90 |
$-44.50 |
-59.8% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
210 |
0.135 |
$28.25 |
$-0.52 |
-1.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
30 |
0.825 |
$25.15 |
$0.15 |
+0.6% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
210 |
0.117 |
$24.46 |
$-0.10 |
-0.4% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
No |
25 |
0.955 |
$23.88 |
$3.12 |
+15.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.875 |
$17.50 |
$-0.30 |
-1.7% |
| Ukraine coup attempt by December 31? |
No |
18 |
0.905 |
$16.37 |
$0.45 |
+2.8% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
15 |
0.702 |
$10.18 |
$0.18 |
+1.8% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by August 31, 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.991 |
$7.29 |
$0.37 |
+5.4% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
Yes |
22 |
0.110 |
$2.42 |
$-4.31 |
-64.0% |