Log in
Trader leaderboard/butterbrot

butterbrot

0x70ad3c12fa92a97e1c387ab594e645d940a3f1df
PnL (30d)
+$1,654
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$76
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+38.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
69%
68W / 30L · 133 open
Win Return (30d)
52%
119W / 112L
Trades (30d)
231
across 105 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$24.32
avg win $45 · loss $14
Profit Factor
6.01
$1,984 won / $330 lost
Reward / Risk
3.28
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,058 · all-time $473,654

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 69.4% 68W/30L 105 $8,059
🏛 Politics — 4 $346
⚽ Sports — 2 $2
💵 Economy — 1 $149

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

21 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 510 0.460 $234.34 $31.64 +15.6%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No 220 0.905 $199.10 $5.50 +2.8%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? No 202 0.963 $194.52 $41.00 +26.7%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No 264 0.725 $191.26 $-9.64 -4.8%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No 222 0.655 $145.41 $24.35 +20.1%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 510 0.278 $141.53 $15.96 +12.7%
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes 222 0.625 $138.75 $-9.99 -6.7%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? Yes 1,000 0.085 $85.00 $-15.00 -15.0%
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 200 0.405 $81.00 $1.00 +1.2%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 210 0.209 $43.99 $2.41 +5.8%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? No 47 0.885 $41.36 $1.86 +4.7%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? No 105 0.340 $35.68 $-38.72 -52.0%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 210 0.135 $28.25 $-0.52 -1.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 30 0.835 $25.46 $0.46 +1.8%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 210 0.117 $24.46 $-0.10 -0.4%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? No 25 0.955 $23.88 $3.12 +15.1%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? No 20 0.875 $17.50 $-0.30 -1.7%
Ukraine coup attempt by December 31? No 18 0.905 $16.37 $0.45 +2.8%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No 15 0.702 $10.18 $0.18 +1.8%
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by August 31, 2026? No 7 0.991 $7.29 $0.37 +5.4%
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? Yes 22 0.110 $2.42 $-4.31 -64.0%