Trader
0x701074c3b7452fa62fa787a1a08c7b3ad644eede
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$29
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$4
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+10.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
66%
68W / 35L · 4 open
Win Return (30d)
66%
71W / 36L
Trades (30d)
107
across 13 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
+$2.65
avg win $13 · loss $16
Profit Factor
1.47
$92 won / $63 lost
Reward / Risk
0.84
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$28
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,354 · all-time $23,191
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
39.2%
122W/189L
|
57 |
$2,341 |
|
🏛 Politics
|
0.0%
0W/13L
|
2 |
$109 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
Yes |
90 |
0.635 |
$56.92 |
$16.92 |
+42.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
324 |
0.165 |
$53.49 |
$13.49 |
+33.7% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
53 |
0.445 |
$23.74 |
$-7.20 |
-23.3% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
No |
16 |
0.885 |
$14.08 |
$4.06 |
+40.5% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
Yes |
119 |
0.045 |
$5.35 |
$-18.44 |
-77.5% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
4 |
0.785 |
$3.22 |
$2.27 |
+241.3% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
16 |
0.054 |
$0.85 |
$-1.71 |
-66.7% |