PnL (30d)

+$33

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$50

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+2.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

39%

122W / 189L · 73 open

Win Return (30d)

47%

179W / 205L

Trades (30d)

384

across 57 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

+$0.69

avg win $13 · loss $10

Profit Factor

1.13

$282 won / $249 lost

Reward / Risk

1.40

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$63

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	39.2% 122W/189L	57	$2,341
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/13L	2	$109

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?	Yes	90	0.685	$61.41	$21.40	+53.5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	324	0.165	$53.49	$13.49	+33.7%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	53	0.435	$23.20	$-7.73	-25.0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	16	0.885	$14.08	$4.06	+40.5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	Yes	21	0.540	$11.11	$3.14	+39.3%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	Yes	119	0.045	$5.35	$-18.44	-77.5%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	4	0.785	$3.22	$2.27	+241.3%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?	Yes	16	0.054	$0.86	$-1.70	-66.4%