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Trader leaderboard/AgricultureSecretary

AgricultureSecretary

0x6ffb4354cbe6e0f9989e3b55564ec5fb8646a834
Scoped to Science — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$2,174
Science · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+13.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
13W / 0L
Win Return (30d)
100%
13W / 0L
Trades (30d)
13
across 6 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$362.38
avg win $362
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $240,067 · all-time $46,045,296

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 61.5% 2,790W/1,746L 318 $3,702,618
🏛 Politics 98.5% 65W/1L 20 $46,633
₿ Crypto 14.5% 114W/673L 15 $40,034
⚽ Sports 77.4% 24W/7L 12 $55,106
🎬 Culture 97.2% 35W/1L 11 $33,442
💵 Economy 100.0% 14W/0L 4 $33,564
🔬 Science 100.0% 6W/0L 1 $4,316

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

23 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? Yes 37,981 1.000 $37,962.36 $18.99 +0.1%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? Yes 25,636 0.999 $25,610.02 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 100,000 0.144 $14,450.00 $3,471.90 +31.6%
Will Lazio Rome win on 2026-08-05? Yes 5,634 0.920 $5,183.73 $-56.01 -1.1%
Solana Up or Down on August 5? Down 8,262 0.490 $4,048.55 $3,965.93 +4800.0%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No 7,689 0.405 $3,114.22 $-2,057.78 -39.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No 2,555 0.385 $983.67 $651.52 +196.2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 1,535 0.575 $881.63 $95.99 +12.2%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 10,000 0.082 $815.00 $325.00 +66.3%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? Yes 1,676 0.425 $713.25 $70.39 +10.9%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes 7,777 0.065 $505.50 $-194.43 -27.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? Yes 2,200 0.175 $385.00 $99.00 +34.6%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2,000 0.155 $310.00 $-10.00 -3.1%
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? Yes 354 0.745 $264.07 $29.29 +12.5%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes 3,000 0.055 $165.00 $-314.97 -65.6%
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 10,000 0.006 $60.00 $-40.00 -40.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? Yes 2,027 0.028 $55.73 $-11.15 -16.7%
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? Yes 1,062 0.052 $55.22 $-71.96 -56.6%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? Yes 2,000 0.028 $55.00 $-325.00 -85.5%
Iran leadership change by August 31? Yes 1,521 0.022 $33.46 $-3.82 -10.2%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No 126 0.085 $10.68 $-13.68 -56.2%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? No 1,120 0.002 $1.68 $-8.40 -83.3%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 3,333 0.001 $1.67 $-8.33 -83.3%