| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
100,001 |
0.790 |
$79,050.59 |
$29,050.22 |
+58.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
37,981 |
1.000 |
$37,962.36 |
$18.99 |
+0.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
25,636 |
0.999 |
$25,610.02 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
100,001 |
0.209 |
$20,950.16 |
$-29,050.22 |
-58.1% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
100,000 |
0.147 |
$14,700.00 |
$3,721.90 |
+33.9% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
7,689 |
0.400 |
$3,075.78 |
$-2,096.23 |
-40.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
2,555 |
0.385 |
$983.67 |
$651.52 |
+196.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
1,535 |
0.601 |
$922.30 |
$136.66 |
+17.4% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
10,000 |
0.086 |
$855.00 |
$365.00 |
+74.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
1,676 |
0.399 |
$668.83 |
$25.97 |
+4.0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
7,777 |
0.065 |
$505.50 |
$-194.43 |
-27.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
2,200 |
0.175 |
$385.00 |
$99.00 |
+34.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.155 |
$310.00 |
$-10.00 |
-3.1% |
| Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? |
Yes |
354 |
0.745 |
$264.07 |
$29.29 |
+12.5% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.055 |
$165.00 |
$-314.97 |
-65.6% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.031 |
$62.00 |
$-318.00 |
-83.7% |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
10,000 |
0.006 |
$60.00 |
$-40.00 |
-40.0% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,062 |
0.056 |
$58.94 |
$-68.24 |
-53.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
Yes |
2,027 |
0.027 |
$54.72 |
$-12.16 |
-18.2% |
| Iran leadership change by August 31? |
Yes |
1,521 |
0.024 |
$35.74 |
$-1.54 |
-4.1% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? |
No |
126 |
0.085 |
$10.68 |
$-13.68 |
-56.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
No |
1,120 |
0.003 |
$2.80 |
$-7.28 |
-72.2% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
3,333 |
0.001 |
$1.67 |
$-8.33 |
-83.3% |