PnL (30d)

+$2,545

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$228

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+18.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

36%

1,114W / 2,017L · 98 open

Win Return (30d)

35%

1,129W / 2,061L · 39 open

Trades (30d)

3,229

across 380 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

+$6.99

avg win $51 · loss $12

Profit Factor

1.86

$5,520 won / $2,975 lost

Reward / Risk

4.40

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$610

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	35.6% 1,114W/2,017L	380	$29,868
🌤 Weather	32.7% 80W/165L	23	$1,534
🏛 Politics	21.4% 3W/11L	4	$105
🎬 Culture	21.4% 3W/11L	4	$105

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	181	0.847	$153.70	$87.23	+131.2%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6?	Yes	300	0.205	$61.50	$3.30	+5.7%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	207	0.190	$39.29	$29.22	+290.1%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 6?	Yes	1,218	0.005	$6.09	$-0.11	-1.8%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 5?	Yes	120	0.045	$5.39	$3.00	+125.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 5?	Yes	1,500	0.001	$0.75	$-7.15	-90.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 5?	Yes	500	0.001	$0.25	$-96.62	-99.7%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	300	0.001	$0.15	$-4.62	-96.9%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 5?	Yes	195	0.001	$0.10	$-35.40	-99.7%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5?	Yes	100	0.001	$0.05	$-9.95	-99.5%