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Trader leaderboard/OntheHedge

OntheHedge

0x6f71b848890a88180464d41aa0e83cb3c821b80e
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$270
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+30.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
10W / 0L
Win Return (30d)
100%
10W / 0L
Trades (30d)
10
across 1 markets · ~10 per market
EV / position
+$269.70
avg win $270
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $274 · all-time $323,188

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 66.7% 50W/25L 34 $4,602
⚽ Sports 87.5% 7W/1L 5 $224
🏛 Politics 100.0% 10W/0L 1 $880
💵 Economy 100.0% 10W/0L 1 $880

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

14 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 600 0.553 $331.79 $101.60 +44.1%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 400 0.786 $314.58 $25.50 +8.8%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 200 0.969 $193.70 $11.10 +6.1%
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes 250 0.655 $163.75 $-53.75 -24.7%
Fed rate hike in 2026? No 250 0.365 $91.25 $-24.25 -21.0%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 100 0.886 $88.65 $7.35 +9.0%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 75 0.865 $64.88 $0.38 +0.6%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No 50 0.825 $41.23 $-4.22 -9.3%
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No 50 0.635 $31.75 $0.25 +0.8%
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? Yes 100 0.265 $26.42 $-45.73 -63.4%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 50 0.525 $26.25 $-0.25 -0.9%
Will EUR/USD hit 1.30 (High) in 2026? No 23 0.935 $21.71 $4.66 +27.3%
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 50 0.255 $12.75 $-0.75 -5.6%
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No 10 0.525 $5.25 $-1.05 -16.7%