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Trader leaderboard/OntheHedge

OntheHedge

0x6f71b848890a88180464d41aa0e83cb3c821b80e
PnL (30d)
+$45
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$131
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
67%
50W / 25L · 17 open
Win Return (30d)
73%
67W / 25L
Trades (30d)
92
across 34 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$1.50
avg win $23 · loss $49
Profit Factor
1.10
$486 won / $441 lost
Reward / Risk
0.47
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$98
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $274 · all-time $323,188

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 66.7% 50W/25L 34 $4,602
⚽ Sports 87.5% 7W/1L 5 $224
🏛 Politics 100.0% 10W/0L 1 $880
💵 Economy 100.0% 10W/0L 1 $880

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

14 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 600 0.540 $324.29 $94.10 +40.9%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 400 0.786 $314.58 $25.50 +8.8%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 200 0.968 $193.50 $10.90 +6.0%
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes 250 0.655 $163.75 $-53.75 -24.7%
Fed rate hike in 2026? No 250 0.375 $93.75 $-21.75 -18.8%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 100 0.886 $88.65 $7.35 +9.0%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 75 0.865 $64.88 $0.38 +0.6%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No 50 0.811 $40.58 $-4.88 -10.7%
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No 50 0.645 $32.25 $0.75 +2.4%
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? Yes 100 0.290 $28.91 $-43.24 -59.9%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 50 0.515 $25.75 $-0.75 -2.8%
Will EUR/USD hit 1.30 (High) in 2026? No 23 0.935 $21.71 $4.66 +27.3%
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 50 0.255 $12.75 $-0.75 -5.6%
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No 10 0.515 $5.15 $-1.15 -18.3%