| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
11,626 |
0.835 |
$9,707.34 |
$4,905.38 |
+102.2% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
37,935 |
0.255 |
$9,673.52 |
$3,523.74 |
+57.3% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
31,483 |
0.298 |
$9,397.53 |
$321.47 |
+3.5% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
7,047 |
0.785 |
$5,532.20 |
$1,672.81 |
+43.3% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
5,332 |
0.645 |
$3,439.15 |
$-26.64 |
-0.8% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
9,600 |
0.356 |
$3,422.40 |
$-187.31 |
-5.2% |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? |
Yes |
8,788 |
0.346 |
$3,039.80 |
$562.24 |
+22.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
8,011 |
0.305 |
$2,443.26 |
$680.91 |
+38.6% |
| Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
3,338 |
0.455 |
$1,518.78 |
$357.49 |
+30.8% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
No |
1,450 |
0.900 |
$1,304.97 |
$275.49 |
+26.8% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
1,100 |
0.981 |
$1,078.55 |
$46.75 |
+4.5% |
| Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
2,312 |
0.420 |
$970.99 |
$184.66 |
+23.5% |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
27,371 |
0.025 |
$695.22 |
$-248.58 |
-26.3% |
| Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next? |
Yes |
655 |
0.996 |
$652.05 |
$265.93 |
+68.9% |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
17,755 |
0.033 |
$577.02 |
$327.04 |
+130.8% |
| Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? |
Yes |
1,311 |
0.400 |
$524.20 |
$50.53 |
+10.7% |
| Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? |
No |
529 |
0.635 |
$335.98 |
$-14.02 |
-4.0% |
| Will Rodri join Real Madrid? |
Yes |
274 |
0.780 |
$213.93 |
$13.93 |
+7.0% |
| Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
197 |
0.665 |
$131.06 |
$28.58 |
+27.9% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
231 |
0.465 |
$107.24 |
$-24.22 |
-18.4% |
| Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? |
No |
238 |
0.380 |
$90.42 |
$-9.58 |
-9.6% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
439 |
0.095 |
$41.49 |
$0.71 |
+1.7% |
| Will Francois Hollande win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? |
Yes |
50 |
0.071 |
$3.55 |
$-0.54 |
-13.3% |