| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
11,626 |
0.845 |
$9,823.60 |
$5,021.64 |
+104.6% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
37,935 |
0.255 |
$9,673.52 |
$3,523.74 |
+57.3% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
31,483 |
0.298 |
$9,397.53 |
$321.47 |
+3.5% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
7,047 |
0.795 |
$5,602.68 |
$1,743.29 |
+45.2% |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? |
Yes |
8,976 |
0.410 |
$3,680.34 |
$1,144.20 |
+45.1% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
5,332 |
0.645 |
$3,439.15 |
$-26.64 |
-0.8% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
9,600 |
0.356 |
$3,422.40 |
$-187.31 |
-5.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
8,011 |
0.305 |
$2,443.26 |
$680.91 |
+38.6% |
| Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
3,338 |
0.455 |
$1,518.78 |
$357.49 |
+30.8% |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? |
No |
3,237 |
0.435 |
$1,407.99 |
$372.23 |
+35.9% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
No |
1,450 |
0.890 |
$1,290.47 |
$260.99 |
+25.4% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
1,100 |
0.978 |
$1,075.25 |
$43.45 |
+4.2% |
| Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
2,312 |
0.445 |
$1,028.79 |
$242.46 |
+30.8% |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
27,371 |
0.025 |
$695.22 |
$-248.58 |
-26.3% |
| Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next? |
Yes |
655 |
0.994 |
$651.07 |
$264.95 |
+68.6% |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
17,755 |
0.032 |
$559.27 |
$309.28 |
+123.7% |
| Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? |
Yes |
1,311 |
0.390 |
$511.10 |
$37.43 |
+7.9% |
| Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? |
No |
529 |
0.635 |
$335.98 |
$-14.02 |
-4.0% |
| Will Rodri join Real Madrid? |
Yes |
274 |
0.775 |
$212.56 |
$12.56 |
+6.3% |
| Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
197 |
0.670 |
$132.05 |
$29.56 |
+28.8% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
231 |
0.505 |
$116.47 |
$-14.99 |
-11.4% |
| Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? |
No |
238 |
0.380 |
$90.42 |
$-9.58 |
-9.6% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
439 |
0.095 |
$41.49 |
$0.71 |
+1.7% |
| Will Francois Hollande win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? |
Yes |
50 |
0.071 |
$3.55 |
$-0.54 |
-13.3% |