| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
33 |
0.840 |
$27.63 |
$15.79 |
+133.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
28 |
0.865 |
$24.51 |
$8.56 |
+53.7% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
21 |
1.000 |
$20.76 |
$4.77 |
+29.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
29 |
0.720 |
$20.69 |
$9.77 |
+89.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
20 |
0.905 |
$18.44 |
$7.64 |
+70.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
21 |
0.815 |
$17.08 |
$7.65 |
+81.1% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
36 |
0.465 |
$16.62 |
$7.17 |
+75.9% |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? |
No |
17 |
0.940 |
$16.15 |
$4.47 |
+38.2% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
24 |
0.645 |
$15.73 |
$0.85 |
+5.7% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
No |
39 |
0.396 |
$15.26 |
$3.19 |
+26.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
15 |
1.000 |
$15.18 |
$3.03 |
+24.9% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
22 |
0.675 |
$15.11 |
$2.35 |
+18.4% |
| KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kia Tigers |
Kia Tigers |
17 |
0.785 |
$13.35 |
$3.31 |
+33.1% |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? |
No |
19 |
0.715 |
$13.29 |
$1.95 |
+17.2% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
Yes |
16 |
0.845 |
$13.23 |
$1.64 |
+14.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? |
No |
13 |
0.964 |
$12.32 |
$1.07 |
+9.5% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
24 |
0.495 |
$11.80 |
$-1.31 |
-10.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.976 |
$11.19 |
$1.67 |
+17.5% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
14 |
0.795 |
$11.13 |
$3.43 |
+44.5% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
No |
12 |
0.895 |
$10.89 |
$2.37 |
+27.9% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox |
Atlanta Braves |
20 |
0.515 |
$10.45 |
$0.91 |
+9.6% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
11 |
0.950 |
$10.02 |
$2.64 |
+35.7% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
11 |
0.935 |
$9.87 |
$2.90 |
+41.7% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
13 |
0.710 |
$9.39 |
$1.72 |
+22.4% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
18 |
0.505 |
$9.31 |
$1.57 |
+20.2% |