| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
33 |
0.835 |
$27.46 |
$15.62 |
+131.9% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
28 |
0.875 |
$24.79 |
$8.84 |
+55.4% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
21 |
0.998 |
$20.71 |
$4.72 |
+29.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
29 |
0.660 |
$18.97 |
$8.05 |
+73.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
20 |
0.895 |
$18.24 |
$7.44 |
+68.9% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
36 |
0.465 |
$16.62 |
$7.17 |
+75.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
21 |
0.790 |
$16.55 |
$7.12 |
+75.6% |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? |
No |
17 |
0.940 |
$16.15 |
$4.47 |
+38.2% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
24 |
0.645 |
$15.73 |
$0.85 |
+5.7% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
No |
39 |
0.397 |
$15.30 |
$3.23 |
+26.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
15 |
1.000 |
$15.18 |
$3.03 |
+24.9% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
22 |
0.675 |
$15.11 |
$2.35 |
+18.4% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
Yes |
16 |
0.855 |
$13.39 |
$1.80 |
+15.5% |
| KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kia Tigers |
Kia Tigers |
17 |
0.785 |
$13.35 |
$3.31 |
+33.1% |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? |
No |
19 |
0.715 |
$13.29 |
$1.95 |
+17.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? |
No |
13 |
0.964 |
$12.32 |
$1.07 |
+9.5% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
14 |
0.805 |
$11.27 |
$3.57 |
+46.4% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.976 |
$11.19 |
$1.67 |
+17.5% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
No |
12 |
0.895 |
$10.89 |
$2.37 |
+27.9% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
24 |
0.450 |
$10.73 |
$-2.38 |
-18.2% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox |
Atlanta Braves |
20 |
0.515 |
$10.45 |
$0.91 |
+9.6% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
18 |
0.550 |
$10.14 |
$2.40 |
+31.0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
11 |
0.945 |
$9.96 |
$2.58 |
+35.0% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
11 |
0.940 |
$9.93 |
$2.96 |
+42.4% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
13 |
0.710 |
$9.39 |
$1.72 |
+22.4% |