PnL (30d)

+$0

Tech · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

100%

3W / 0L · 17 open

Win Return (30d)

15%

3W / 17L

Trades (30d)

20

across 2 markets · ~10 per market

EV / position

+$0.39

avg win $0

Profit Factor

∞

no losses yet

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	84.6% 11W/2L	9	$532
🤖 Tech	—	1	$5

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	677	0.059	$39.93	$-50.01	-55.6%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	656	0.045	$29.86	$-24.62	-45.2%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?	Yes	641	0.044	$28.52	$-70.10	-71.1%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?	Yes	101	0.115	$11.67	$-9.43	-44.7%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	656	0.015	$10.17	$-31.19	-75.4%
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	Yes	100	0.056	$5.54	$-4.03	-42.1%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	15	0.240	$3.68	$-1.28	-25.7%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	644	0.005	$3.54	$-106.26	-96.8%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	617	0.003	$1.54	$-19.67	-92.7%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?	Yes	25	0.028	$0.69	$-1.79	-72.2%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?	Yes	63	0.005	$0.35	$-2.24	-86.6%
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	2	0.005	$0.01	$-0.01	-37.9%