PnL (30d)

+$3

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

85%

11W / 2L · 75 open

Win Return (30d)

27%

24W / 64L

Trades (30d)

88

across 9 markets · ~10 per market

EV / position

+$0.64

avg win $2 · loss $0

Profit Factor

5.38

$3 won / $1 lost

Reward / Risk

5.38

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	84.6% 11W/2L	9	$532
🤖 Tech	—	1	$5

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	677	0.059	$39.93	$-50.01	-55.6%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	656	0.045	$29.86	$-24.62	-45.2%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?	Yes	641	0.044	$28.52	$-70.10	-71.1%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?	Yes	101	0.125	$12.68	$-8.41	-39.9%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	656	0.015	$10.17	$-31.19	-75.4%
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	Yes	100	0.051	$5.04	$-4.53	-47.3%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	15	0.245	$3.76	$-1.20	-24.2%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	644	0.005	$3.54	$-106.26	-96.8%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	617	0.003	$1.54	$-19.67	-92.7%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?	Yes	25	0.030	$0.76	$-1.71	-69.2%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?	Yes	63	0.005	$0.35	$-2.24	-86.6%
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	2	0.004	$0.01	$-0.01	-44.3%