PnL (30d)

−$57

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-15.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

21%

7W / 26L · 11 open

Win Return (30d)

39%

17W / 27L

Trades (30d)

44

across 22 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$3.35

avg win $10 · loss $9

Profit Factor

0.46

$49 won / $106 lost

Reward / Risk

1.10

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$23

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	44.8% 134W/165L	126	$7,141
🎬 Culture	14.3% 2W/12L	11	$242
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/5L	6	$184
⚽ Sports	92.3% 12W/1L	5	$393

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?	No	112	0.680	$76.27	$31.53	+70.5%
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?	Yes	120	0.415	$49.80	$-1.80	-3.5%
Will Trump say "Waitress" during remarks in Las Vegas?	Yes	40	0.795	$31.77	$0.60	+1.9%
Will Trump say "COVID" or "Warp Speed" during remarks in Las Vegas?	Yes	60	0.380	$22.80	$0.75	+3.4%
Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?	Yes	40	0.455	$18.20	$1.40	+8.3%
Will Trump say "Tax" 30+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?	Yes	22	0.605	$13.01	$1.61	+14.2%
Will Trump say "No No No" during remarks in Las Vegas?	Yes	30	0.285	$8.55	$-0.45	-5.0%
Will there be exactly 5 ChatGPT outages in August 2026?	Yes	50	0.140	$7.00	$-2.50	-26.3%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	100	0.065	$6.50	$-4.50	-40.9%
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in August 2026?	Yes	42	0.125	$5.25	$-0.21	-3.8%
Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?	Yes	1	0.730	$1.09	$0.18	+19.7%