Trader
0x6cef9d09a0114bf160a1f6b8eef64f9c5e74af02
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$2
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+0.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
9W / 0L
Win Return (30d)
100%
9W / 0L
Trades (30d)
9
across 1 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
+$2.40
avg win $2
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $850 · all-time $198,683
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
4,000 |
0.625 |
$2,500.00 |
$380.00 |
+17.9% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
2,500 |
0.790 |
$1,976.25 |
$726.25 |
+58.1% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
2,033 |
0.886 |
$1,802.30 |
$875.85 |
+94.5% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
2,500 |
0.209 |
$523.75 |
$-707.35 |
-57.5% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? |
Yes |
300 |
0.565 |
$169.47 |
$-7.53 |
-4.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.537 |
$161.10 |
$-88.80 |
-35.5% |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026? |
Yes |
160 |
0.935 |
$149.85 |
$61.26 |
+69.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
No |
515 |
0.225 |
$115.94 |
$-164.47 |
-58.7% |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026? |
No |
56 |
0.952 |
$53.57 |
$13.62 |
+34.1% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? |
No |
46 |
0.885 |
$41.03 |
$25.73 |
+168.2% |
| US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.110 |
$11.00 |
$-36.17 |
-76.7% |