PnL (30d)

−$55

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

-9.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

33%

3W / 6L

Win Return (30d)

33%

3W / 6L

Trades (30d)

9

across 4 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$13.78

avg win $55 · loss $82

Profit Factor

0.66

$109 won / $164 lost

Reward / Risk

0.66

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	48.4% 30W/32L	30	$10,286
💵 Economy	100.0% 10W/0L	3	$2,791
🏛 Politics	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$391
🤖 Tech	100.0% 9W/0L	1	$2,282

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	4,000	0.625	$2,500.00	$380.00	+17.9%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	2,500	0.790	$1,976.25	$726.25	+58.1%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	2,033	0.886	$1,802.30	$875.85	+94.5%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	2,500	0.209	$523.75	$-707.35	-57.5%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	Yes	300	0.565	$169.47	$-7.53	-4.3%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	300	0.543	$162.90	$-87.00	-34.8%
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?	Yes	160	0.935	$149.85	$61.26	+69.2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	515	0.220	$113.37	$-167.05	-59.6%
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?	No	56	0.957	$53.85	$13.90	+34.8%
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	46	0.885	$41.03	$25.73	+168.2%
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?	Yes	100	0.110	$11.00	$-36.17	-76.7%