| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
560 |
0.835 |
$467.44 |
$-20.16 |
-4.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
404 |
0.695 |
$280.79 |
$-26.12 |
-8.5% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
No |
304 |
0.735 |
$223.19 |
$81.27 |
+57.3% |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
No |
219 |
0.997 |
$218.07 |
$8.18 |
+3.9% |
| Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027? |
Yes |
226 |
0.710 |
$160.74 |
$-40.99 |
-20.3% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
No |
148 |
0.994 |
$147.43 |
$10.01 |
+7.3% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
4,708 |
0.029 |
$138.89 |
$89.44 |
+180.9% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
142 |
0.855 |
$121.10 |
$19.12 |
+18.8% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
321 |
0.375 |
$120.39 |
$-4.53 |
-3.6% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
294 |
0.405 |
$119.09 |
$-1.47 |
-1.2% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
186 |
0.625 |
$116.15 |
$-47.49 |
-29.0% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
2,080 |
0.052 |
$109.19 |
$22.77 |
+26.4% |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
19,196 |
0.005 |
$105.58 |
$-54.69 |
-34.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
116 |
0.865 |
$100.58 |
$0.58 |
+0.6% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
127 |
0.715 |
$90.80 |
$17.71 |
+24.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
112 |
0.780 |
$87.29 |
$28.84 |
+49.4% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? |
No |
99 |
0.725 |
$72.04 |
$-0.36 |
-0.5% |
| Will Trump issue a veto in 2026? |
Yes |
115 |
0.515 |
$59.16 |
$-3.89 |
-6.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
57 |
0.999 |
$57.34 |
$0.66 |
+1.2% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
55 |
0.987 |
$54.42 |
$1.68 |
+3.2% |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
No |
52 |
0.983 |
$51.04 |
$1.04 |
+2.1% |
| Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? |
No |
70 |
0.680 |
$47.91 |
$-1.41 |
-2.9% |
| Will Trump say "Through the Roof" in August? |
Yes |
49 |
0.968 |
$47.29 |
$-0.59 |
-1.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
No |
85 |
0.515 |
$43.69 |
$-4.60 |
-9.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? |
No |
135 |
0.300 |
$40.56 |
$-5.41 |
-11.8% |