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Trader leaderboard/Belgaron

Belgaron

0x6c104a31c105ab2573a42e0f178f961e4496df5c
Scoped to Science — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Science · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$4
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
100%
2W / 0L
Trades (30d)
2
across 1 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $61,972 · all-time $1,540,241

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 88.6% 592W/76L 262 $298,178
🏛 Politics 100.0% 13W/0L 63 $34,084
⚽ Sports 67.9% 19W/9L 22 $3,877
💵 Economy 100.0% 11W/0L 16 $11,498
₿ Crypto 16 $9,408
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/1L 14 $4,397
🤖 Tech 5 $721
🔬 Science 1 $769

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No 10,837 0.885 $9,590.87 $495.17 +5.4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No 8,882 0.755 $6,705.60 $495.06 +8.0%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes 5,415 0.960 $5,195.45 $728.31 +16.3%
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? Yes 4,870 0.919 $4,475.46 $382.14 +9.3%
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? No 4,808 0.925 $4,449.70 $151.24 +3.5%
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? No 4,340 0.920 $3,993.10 $361.08 +9.9%
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? No 3,955 0.895 $3,540.14 $337.76 +10.5%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 3,788 0.845 $3,200.80 $288.73 +9.9%
Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? No 2,989 0.972 $2,904.21 $336.23 +13.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No 6,014 0.455 $2,736.30 $295.97 +12.1%
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No 3,000 0.888 $2,665.50 $-1.50 -0.1%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 10,120 0.260 $2,626.14 $237.88 +10.0%
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No 2,921 0.895 $2,614.36 $24.41 +0.9%
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? No 2,909 0.889 $2,587.55 $-48.15 -1.8%
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No 4,100 0.605 $2,480.47 $-342.48 -12.1%
Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? Yes 3,007 0.800 $2,405.33 $210.91 +9.6%
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes 2,639 0.895 $2,362.05 $87.54 +3.8%
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? No 2,566 0.890 $2,283.94 $78.50 +3.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? No 2,300 0.920 $2,115.99 $63.00 +3.1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 3,200 0.615 $1,968.00 $364.00 +22.7%
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes 2,207 0.865 $1,909.23 $171.61 +9.9%
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes 2,044 0.925 $1,890.84 $67.81 +3.7%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? No 1,800 0.905 $1,629.00 $279.10 +20.7%
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes 1,936 0.835 $1,616.41 $-2.67 -0.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? No 1,800 0.885 $1,593.00 $21.00 +1.3%