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Trader leaderboard/blindmaninanorgy

blindmaninanorgy

0x6bedb65d4bec63a0fef84cd0f19a54f64029b1fe
PnL (30d)
−$3,419
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$29
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-9.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
80%
413W / 103L · 19 open
Win Return (30d)
81%
431W / 103L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
535
across 81 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
−$47.49
avg win $17 · loss $645
Profit Factor
0.24
$1,097 won / $4,516 lost
Reward / Risk
0.03
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1,112
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $14,088 · all-time $478,564

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 80.0% 413W/103L 81 $45,161
🌤 Weather 62.7% 47W/28L 12 $10,831

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

18 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 9,306 0.945 $8,794.56 $849.68 +10.7%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No 6,927 0.972 $6,729.30 $84.04 +1.3%
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? No 913 0.981 $895.57 $15.26 +1.7%
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? No 616 0.986 $607.22 $14.23 +2.4%
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 5? No 560 0.986 $551.88 $7.90 +1.5%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on August 5? No 500 1.000 $499.74 $2.25 +0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 5? No 500 0.962 $480.99 $8.00 +1.7%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 5? No 300 1.000 $299.85 $5.85 +2.0%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 5? No 300 0.988 $296.40 $0.90 +0.3%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 5? No 300 0.975 $292.35 $-1.95 -0.7%
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 800 0.255 $204.00 $-20.00 -8.9%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 5? No 154 0.997 $153.04 $0.43 +0.3%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 6? No 150 0.985 $147.75 $2.25 +1.5%
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 5? No 135 0.997 $134.23 $0.40 +0.3%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 5? No 97 1.000 $97.27 $0.63 +0.7%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 5? No 79 0.935 $73.69 $9.85 +15.4%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 7? No 10 0.915 $9.15 $0.15 +1.7%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 6? No 6 0.985 $6.07 $0.03 +0.5%